SOMETHING about this “Labour MPs planning to defect to the LibDems” story just doesn’t add up.

I’m not suggesting Lord Ashdown is misleading anyone: I genuinely consider him to be an honourable and honest man. But look at this logically: the LibDems are ostensibly in the very early stages of negotiating what would be, if successful, a remarkable coup which would do as much damage to Labour as it would benefit the LibDems. The essential prerequisite of any MP planning to defect would be discretion: his or her intentions must remain an absolute secret until the deal is done. After all, if negotiations broke down for any reason, or if the disloyal MP were to change his mind, he could hardly return “home” to Labour if his treacherous intentions had been revealed.

And even if protected by anonymity, the very suggestion of a so-called “mass exodus” of Labour MPs hitting the media would be more than enough to scupper any such negotiations and to send any prospective defector scurrying back to the party that put them into parliament in the first place.

So, if these negotiations were actually taking place, why on earth would the LibDems’ former leader announce the fact to the world? Two possibilities: either he’s trying to sabotage the negotiations himself (clearly absurd) or he’s been misinformed about the sincerity of the potential defectors’ intentions. Either way, the story just doesn’t stand up.

Paddy is no doubt still bitter about his dashed hopes for a Cabinet post back in 1997 when Tony Blair allegedly considered a grand Labour-LibDem coalition. Now, as regular readers will know, my admiration for our former prime minister knows no bounds, but that would have been a disastrous move which would have very quickly undermined his leadership of the Labour Party. We were all very grateful to Tony for leading us back into government after 18 years of opposition, but he would not have been forgiven for voluntarily giving power (and Cabinet seats) away to a minority power while Labour had a comfortable working majority.

I’m prepared to be proved wrong (although I’m right) but I’d be astonished if there were a single defection by a Labour MP to any other party.

UPDATE at 2.32 pm: Just had an interesting thought. Paddy says this approach from Labour MPs has been made. Clegg says he knows nothing about it. That leaves us three options: either Ashdown’s story is true and Clegg has been kept in the dark about the potentially single biggest propaganda coup his party might ever have and only heard about it through the media; or the story is true and Clegg is lying when he says he knows nothing about it; or the story, as I said before, is BS.

I know where I’d put my money.