Today, I will give this cast-iron guarantee: If I become PM, a Conservative government will hold a referendum on any EU treaty that emerges from these negotiations

So that’s clear then. Admirably unambiguous.

That’s what David Cameron told The Sun in 2007. So, obviously, whatever happens to the Lisbon Treaty (that’s the Treaty, not the Constitution, incidentally), in the next few days, a government led by David Cameron would hold a referendum.

And yet, Paul Waugh has reported that the Great Leader is about to announce  that he’s ditching his own plans for a referendum once Lisbon is fully ratified. Surely Paul is wrong? After all, Cameron must have known when he made that promise that there was a better than even chance of the treaty being ratified before the general election. And if you read that quote from Cameron at the top of the post again, it’s unthinkable that he would have made a “cast iron” guarantee and then renege on it.

Unless, of course, Cameron has the alchemist’s ability to transform base metals into… I don’t know… soggy tissue paper?