THE FIRST in a series of posts seeking to identify arrogant complacency by Tories and Tory-supporting blogs in the run-up to the general election.

And our first winner (and I suspect this isn’t the last we’ll see of them in this particular category) is none other than the Spectator Coffee House, which today speculates:

One interesting thing to watch after the next election is how many of the (Conservative) 2010 intake are offered ministerial jobs straight away.

Truly remarkable, isn’t it, how quickly this lot return to the old assumption that the general election is “in the bag”, even after three consecutive general election defeats?

For the record, the Tories currently have 200 MPs, up two on their 2005 result. Under Michael Foot, Labour won 210. I’m just saying…