THE FIRST in a series of posts seeking to identify arrogant complacency by Tories and Tory-supporting blogs in the run-up to the general election.
And our first winner (and I suspect this isn’t the last we’ll see of them in this particular category) is none other than the Spectator Coffee House, which today speculates:
One interesting thing to watch after the next election is how many of the (Conservative) 2010 intake are offered ministerial jobs straight away.
Truly remarkable, isn’t it, how quickly this lot return to the old assumption that the general election is “in the bag”, even after three consecutive general election defeats?
For the record, the Tories currently have 200 MPs, up two on their 2005 result. Under Michael Foot, Labour won 210. I’m just saying…














Saturday 21 November 2009 at 7:47 pm
It does seem a little premature, especially with the wangled constituency boundaries set so strongly against the Conservatives (as various experts have explained and evidenced).
I think it should have been worded conditionally: “if they get an overall majority…”
Putting that to one side, though, it was interesting to see Shadow Cabinet positions go to new intake talent such as Justine Greening, Adam Afriyie, and Michael Gove after the 2005 election. I think it’s a healthy thing, don’t you?
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 7:57 pm
You know the Tories can run things way better than Labour. Its for all to see with all the problems the Tories had in government it is nothing to what a mess you have made this time. The next worse mess was the last Labour government.
Just look, Scottish rugby has a English manager and beats Austtralia. Its just in our blood to run things well for other countries.Great match and a very determined effort from Scotland. I was almost proud of them.
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 8:04 pm
By the way Tom. Off topic but here is a view of locl life in Norfolk. Check out the photos for the massive brewery.
http://www.facebook.com/home.php?ref=home#/pages/Beeston-Brewery/33863289542?ref=ts
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 8:05 pm
Off topic
Have you any views with regards to the exposure to the Global Warming Scam which the Government has largely funded via the now discredited Climate Research Unit (CRU)
Parliamentary majorities or not, someone with real integrity needs to ask some very serious questions in Parliament.
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 8:13 pm
Aye Tom, but politics has changed radically since Michael Foot’s day.
Voters, those of the younger generation, are more aware and have more more information and opinion at their fingertips.
Of course, I wouldn’t vote for either of you. You’re as bad as each other.
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 8:56 pm
I dunno if the Tories will win, but I think everyone on Earth knows that Labour are going to lose.
Here in Scotland, we’re hoping to prise some seats from Labour. Don’t know if Alex will get his famous 20, but I know we’re damned well going to try. If a certain Mr. Cairns happens to read this, I’m looking at you right now…(not literally, that’d make me some kind of freaky stalker or something…)
I doubt Plaid will make much of a dent in Wales, but they might swing 4 or 5 seats…
In England, even with the boundary reforms, it’ll be a bloodbath and a lot of Labour know it already.
Tom’s relatively “safe”; sure we’ll hope to take Glasgow South, but it’ll be a struggle. A lot of seats in England, even ones with high majorities, are predicted to annihilated.
I think we may see a minority tory government, or perhaps a coalition of Lab/Lib-Dem. We might even see a “national-unity” government but I doubt it; even during WW2 it was fractious, no way will the Tory’s sit alongside Labour.
One thing we will not be seeing is a Labour government though. Unless Gordon does something dramatic (like resign, and appoint Peter Mandelson as Ambassador to the Far-far-away Islands so we never have to fear his return), Labour are done and everyone knows it.
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 9:14 pm
The Torys still believe they are the party of Government and the Natural order is for us to be ruled by our betters.
Thus the return of Etonian rule..
I spose we will have to relearn how to tug our forelocks?
anything else which needs tugging we will leave to the Torys..after all we never went to public schools.
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 10:41 pm
Mr M makes a good point re the Etonian factor.
It’s rather strange that the Tory party have turned the clock back to the old default position of having old Etonians in charge. Heath, Thatcher and Major all came from fairly humble backgrounds. This was something which gave them some credibility with the voters – it made the Tories seem like a party of aspiration.
However, Cameron and Osborne look like men who’ve had all the advantages handed to them on the proverbial plate. The image it projects of their party is of unearned privilege.
Sunday 22 November 2009 at 5:12 pm
Nicky
Saturday 21 November 2009 at 10:41 pm
However, Cameron and Osborne look like men who’ve had all the advantages handed to them on the proverbial plate.
******************************************
Wow, a whole two.
I’m sure you’re aware that Osborne’s father was a self-made man and created jobs for a couple of hundred.
And a fairly pathetic attempt by Tom to pretend that somehow the Tory line is that ‘the election is in the bag’.
It’s certainly my line, because the election *is* in the bag, but it’s certainly not Cameron’s.
Nothing awaits Nulabour in the upcoming election than utter and well-deserved annihilation, and utter and well-deserved humiliation.
Get used to the idea.
Sunday 22 November 2009 at 9:58 pm
Are they ‘measuring the drapes’? (c) G.W. Bush
Monday 23 November 2009 at 4:45 am
Actually Tom, the Tories are “down 1″ on their 2005 result at 197 seats. Remember Quentin Davies, Derek Conway & Bob Spink either resigned the whip or were expelled.
Monday 23 November 2009 at 9:46 am
Mr Harris: perhaps your next post could deal with the “head in the sand” ostrichs of our present Government – spend, spend, spend. Hasn’t someone told them there is no money to spend. In fact, we are heading for a debt totalling £1,300,000,000,000 and the international credit rating agencies are hinting that they might down-grade our AAA rating should, by any remote chance, Labour be re-elected. Now that would mean a sharp rise in interest rates and would send the economy into yet another downward spiral. So, for heavens sake, get real!
Also Nicky should be careful about raising the old and tired Etonian canard. Someone might just start to remind the public about the long parade of ex-Marxists/Trots and sundry hard lefties that has been shuffled along the government front bench in recent years.
Tuesday 24 November 2009 at 10:28 am
@ DW@WOLDS:
A fair few of Mrs Thatcher’s aides were ex marxists I recall.
In fact Sir Keith Joseph claimed to remain marxist, but taking the opposite view, as it were.
Are you scared of ideas I wonder?
Tuesday 24 November 2009 at 4:18 pm
@sammy
“…Nothing awaits Nulabour in the upcoming election than utter and well-deserved annihilation, and utter and well-deserved humiliation….”
I rather doubt that even in his most orgasmic secret thoughts, David Cameron goes quite that far.
Defeat for Labour, highly possible.
Annihilation? Very little chance I believe.
Tuesday 24 November 2009 at 8:35 pm
Actually Chameleon does sometimes talk about annihilation for Labour, and a Reich of a . . pretty long time , . yah?
Truth to tell labour are on their way to becoming favourites for the next GE. Recession giving way to recovery, Polls favouring Labour, especially in Scotland and they ALL count.
The real question is what happens to the tories?
Carswell – Hannan are poised, UKIP & BNP await . . . Hezza/Clarke cower.
In fact Clarke has declared that he would rather Labour won than Chameleon had a hung parliament, and Clegg would go with him if he can justify it.
Leave a comment