And another thing…

ACCORDING to PoliticalBetting, there’s likely to be another poll out tonight. I expect we’ll be inundated with polls much more frequently now that we’re in the final countdown to polling day, or at least to the announcement of polling day (the Pebultimate Countdown, as it were. A less catchy follow-up to Europe’s number 1 hit).

This is ComRes’s result tonight:

UPDATE at 9.00 pm: YouGov in the Sunday Times, meanwhile, has the Tory lead down to nine points.

GIVEN the renowned volatility of opinion polls these days, it’s interesting to see this one in The Sun which puts both main parties (as well as the LibDems) on exactly the same levels of support as in the previous survey.

Hat-tip to conservativehome.

DESPITE expectations that Wednesday’s coup attempt would spell disaster for Labour’s support, the latest poll from ICM shows virtually no movement on the previous month. Labour is down one – well within the margin or error – to 30, and the Tories are static on 40.

UPDATE: Confusion seems to be reigning over this poll as to whether it represents a slight increase or a decrease in Labour support over the past month. James has just pointed out that the Telegraph are reporting it as an improvement in Labour’s position, whereas, in my link above to conservativehome, they report it as one down one the previous month.

UK POLLING Report has a new poll showing a Tory lead of 17 points.

Bugger.

TOMORROW’S Observer will carry an Ipsos/Mor poll showing the Tories with an extremely modest (and not majority-winning) six per cent lead. The numbers are:

Conservatives 37 (-6)
Labour 31 (+5)
Others 32

I can go to bed (reasonably) happy now.

TWO NEW polls – one by Ipsos/Mori and the other by ICM for The Guardian - each give the Tories a 17-point lead over Labour.

Plus I dropped one of my Dalek cufflinks and broke it. I could just barf.

A NEW ICM poll for the News of the World tomorow gives the Tories a 19-point lead:

Conservatives 45 (+5)
Labour 26 (n/c)
Others 29

I mean, what █████ the ████████ and I know exactly how ████████ ██████. But for that to happen ████ ██████ █████████ would have to ███████ █████  and I don’t ███████ see that happening unless ████████ ███  ██████.

████████ and ████████ but it’s ██████████ ██████████ ███████ ███ ██████████ █████████ ██████ ████████ .

Hoestly, I just feel like ███████ my ██████ ████████ ██████ , which probably wouldn’t help.

At least, that’s my take on it.

THERE’S a fascinating poll of marginal seats over at PoliticsHome, which predicts a Tory majority of a mere 70 after the general election – down from more than 140 a year ago.

Sorry, that’s the best I can manage this early in the morning.

JEFF over at SNP Tactical Voting has drawn my attention to the latest poll from ComRes for The Independent, giving the Tories a 15-point lead and with Labour and the LibDems neck-and-neck at 23 points each.

The only ray of hope for Labour is that the Tories are two points short of the 40 per cent threshold. Now, I happen to know for a fact that there are at least some senior Tories who are clever enough to be at least a bit unnerved by this. And this hot on the heels of today’s ICM poll for the News of the World which concluded that most voters reckon Labour is still at least in with a chance.

Having said all that, being stuck on 23 alongside the LibDems is what I would call “not the ideal launch pad for a general election campaign”. But what do I know?

LABOUR are showing no sign of narrowing the Tories’ lead in the polls, despite signs of returning economic confidence.

An Ipsos/Mori poll for tomorrow’s Observer puts the Conservatives on 43 per cent to Labour’s 26.

Experts claim that, based on these figures, a landslide Labour majority is looking slightly less likely than previously.