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Tag: ICM

DESPITE expectations that Wednesday’s coup attempt would spell disaster for Labour’s support, the latest poll from ICM shows virtually no movement on the previous month. Labour is down one – well within the margin or error – to 30, and the Tories are static on 40.

UPDATE: Confusion seems to be reigning over this poll as to whether it represents a slight increase or a decrease in Labour support over the past month. James has just pointed out that the Telegraph are reporting it as an improvement in Labour’s position, whereas, in my link above to conservativehome, they report it as one down one the previous month.

Two new polls. Unfortunately.

TWO NEW polls – one by Ipsos/Mori and the other by ICM for The Guardian - each give the Tories a 17-point lead over Labour.

Plus I dropped one of my Dalek cufflinks and broke it. I could just barf.

A NEW ICM poll for the News of the World tomorow gives the Tories a 19-point lead:

Conservatives 45 (+5)
Labour 26 (n/c)
Others 29

I mean, what █████ the ████████ and I know exactly how ████████ ██████. But for that to happen ████ ██████ █████████ would have to ███████ █████  and I don’t ███████ see that happening unless ████████ ███  ██████.

████████ and ████████ but it’s ██████████ ██████████ ███████ ███ ██████████ █████████ ██████ ████████ .

Hoestly, I just feel like ███████ my ██████ ████████ ██████ , which probably wouldn’t help.

At least, that’s my take on it.

JEFF over at SNP Tactical Voting has drawn my attention to the latest poll from ComRes for The Independent, giving the Tories a 15-point lead and with Labour and the LibDems neck-and-neck at 23 points each.

The only ray of hope for Labour is that the Tories are two points short of the 40 per cent threshold. Now, I happen to know for a fact that there are at least some senior Tories who are clever enough to be at least a bit unnerved by this. And this hot on the heels of today’s ICM poll for the News of the World which concluded that most voters reckon Labour is still at least in with a chance.

Having said all that, being stuck on 23 alongside the LibDems is what I would call “not the ideal launch pad for a general election campaign”. But what do I know?

THE LATEST ICM poll for The Guardian tomorrow will give Cameron’s Tories a 16-point lead. The numbers are:

Conservatives 41 (-2)
Labour 25 (-1)
Others 34

Pollwatch: oh, FFS!

TWO NEW polls tomorrow give the Conservatives substantial leads.

ICM for The Sunday Mirror puts the Tories on 43, 17 points ahead of Labour on 26. And YouGov for The Sunday Times gives Cameron’s party 42 and Labour 28 — a Tory lead of 14 points.

On the plus side, a dog in Lancashire has been reunited with its owners after being trapped in a fox trap for three weeks.

PERHAPS the only silver lining to the latest ICM poll in The Telegraph is that it will have put paid to any nonsense about Gordon bringing LibDems into the government.

I hope.

LABOUR clearly have the next election in the bag, according to the latest ICM poll for tomorrow’s Guardian.

The poll shows a reduction in the Tory lead from 13 to 10 per cent.

Pollwatch: Liberals up six pc

TOMORROW’S Telegraph will carry an ICM poll giving the Tories a 12-point lead over Labour, and putting the Liberals on 22, up six on the previous month, according to Political Betting.

The figures are:

  • Conservatives 40 (-4)
  • Labour 28 (-4)
  • LibDems (22 (+6)

Pollwatch: Tory lead down 10 points

JUST been told about the ICM poll in tomorrow’s Guardian:

Conservatives: 38 (down 7)
Labour 33 (up 3)
LibDems: 19 (up 1)