And another thing…

That said, we ought to remain highly cautious, but thanks for pointing this out

That’s a little surprising given that it must have been conducted before the PM’s announcement today. I suspect that Brown’s clear statement of intent – something which was met only with schoolboy name calling by Cameron – will help Labour make a further dent into the Tories’ lead.

Two weeks ago I wasn’t at all optimistic about Labour’s chances at the next election, but I am now. Let’s hope Labour can take the fight to the Tories over the coming months.

oh tom please….how many people actually got questioned in this poll? maybe 1500? there are over 60 million people in the uk…i know at least 50 people who cant stand your goverment and are simply biding their time before they take that scheming moral compass out of lives forever.

it is clear by your comments that all u lot actually care about is winning an election…you move from one topic on cuts to one on polls….who gives a stuff about polls?

cant u people just get on with running the country instead of trying to win your silly little battles with the tories?

lets face it half the country wants an election and you wont have one….you have an unelected prime minister..a load of lords in the cabinet and ministers who only a few weeks ago wanted gordon brown out of power!

hypocritical or what…trust me i dont think cameron will be concerned…do u really think anyone in their right mind is going to vote for the first class u currently have leading our country?

no of course they wont…we dont like him, i repeat we dont like him!

any dignified goverment would go with the will of the people and allow them to judge goon but thatst he problem with labour they dont trust the people they just want to control them.

oh and finally can u explain how u will enforce a job on someone?

what u going to do get the police to take them to an interview?

i can see it now….the old bailey today sentenced a man to 10 years in jail for turning down a job at macdonalds.

the pm said afterwards it was a victory for modern communism…oops sorry..democracy.

honestly it beggars belief how awful this goverment and its leader really is and yet u tom, a smart guy, still believe that gordon is going to build new houses…didnt he say he was going to build 3 million of them 2 years ago!

oh well tom at least we will get an election sometime and the happiness this country will return to will be magical!

hopefully we can win the world cup and get rid of gordon in the same week, now how great would that be!

finally just read a poll saying that 64% of the population want a general election…now tom how worried is gordon now!

You’re not a happy man, are you, Roger?

I suspect the Tories are still suffering from the “long tail” of the expenses sage. They did, after all, have the most eyecatching examples of abuse.

I’m not going to pay much attention to polls – no matter who they favour – until after the summer recess, by which time they should have largely calmed down.

no i am not tom…and nor should you be.

i think people are just fed up with this gordon man…i mean its just relaunch after relaunch.

for god sake he is meant to the prime minister of a country that is steeped in beautiful history and it appears all he cares about is winning the election.

can u imagine what another 5 years of him will be like?

torture…pure torture.

i am disappointed that you cant make your comment a bit more open tom….please what are you thoughts on guaranteed jobs and how we are actually going to police it?

what are your thoughts on the fact we have lords in the cabinet who have not ever been voted into power?

what about gordon himself? forget your silly party…think of the people…do u really think he is the right man for this job?

come off the fence tom and blog your blog…whilst i appreciate your concern of my welfare i would really love to see you answer some of the points made.

i have just typed the sentence u wrote about me…it tooks 7 seconds!

is that all the british public is worth?

or would u prefer i simply told u how great gordon was and how much good your goverment has done?

i wonder how far your goverment would really have got with changes had the internet not been invented….think about it tom

meanwhile well done to your fellow compatriate andy murray tonite…he looked like he was gonna blow it but he didnt.

Tom

I’m sure we’ve been here before, but the most interesting stat from this poll is that Labour are only 5 points ahead of the ‘others’. How embarrassing.

Mind you it’s ComRes.

Their last poll before the Euro elections had Labour finishing 2 points behind the tories in 2nd place and 5 points ahead of UKIP.

Labour of course finished 12 points behind the tories and a point behind UKIP.

Hmm political betting.com seem to think there might be a problem with how the numbers were arrived at…..

+3 and you’re on a massive 25% – wow – you must think you are on one hell of a roll now.

Time to open that Champagne you’ve been saving?

For comparison:

The Scottish sub-samples from the last two polls are as follows -

YouGov :

SNP 35% (+3)
Labour 29% (+1)
Liberal Democrats 15% (-1)
Conservatives 14% (-1)
Others 9% (-)

ComRes :

SNP 45% (+21)
Labour 29% (+5)
Liberal Democrats 12% (-1)
Conservatives 8% (-16)
Others 5% (-9)

ComRes keep fiddling the way they weight the results, so they need to stick to this one and give it a run. We can then see a pattern develop. But, you’re right, any fall in the lead means we may end up stuck with this government for longer. I’d emigrate but I lost my job, savings are gone and I stand to loose my home in due course. Oh well, we have a new great plan to see not happen…

Well , I think Mr Cameron was on to something today. When people have lost their jobs , can’t pay the bills and are forced to take any menial job that Mr Brown can think up , you will see civil war on the streets of this country.

Mrs Thatcher saved the Labour Party from annihilation last time. I personally hope that Mr Brown wins the next election for it will mean the end of Socialism in this country for my lifetime , 40 or so years at least.

I think the Tories are 3% in front in the Norwich polls. I think the Norwich result will give us all a true indication.

If the Tories can win Norwich North you can forget your poll results.

Roger

Save valuable typing time by typing ‘compatriot ‘instead of ‘fellow compatriot ‘.

Dodgy polling methodology?

Linky

You’re right. Cameron’s useless. Let’s have an election.

Comres’s voying intentions weighting is carp.
They are a joke.

Having said that, the Labour bounce I expected has arrived.

Enjoy it Tom.

Gordon will in about 3 months’ time, manage to do and say something which will make this poll look like a fond memory.

25% is a very good Labour result…

Go back to your constituency and prepare for victory, Tom.

A quick shufty at the Comres site gives us a very good indication of why these figures are so far out of whack with all the other pollsters.

To quote from PoliticalBetting “Where ComRes differs from ICM is it’s use of a forced question – “how would you vote if it were a legal requirement” and the fact that it allocates 100% of those saying don’t know in accordance with the party they say they most identify with”.

-=-=-

To my mind, asking a hypothetical based on a hypothetical is bound to get odd results.

Added to that you’ve got the complication of a people choosing odd parties (others) due to the coercive nature of the question.

The fact that they’re then compounding the error by assigning votes to people who’ve directly stated that they have no intention of voting is just the icing on the cake.

Good thing the voting system is weighted in your favour isn’t Tom? You can be less popular than the Tories, and still win an election. Isn’t our democracy great?!

Yes. Yes it is.

@ roger benstone
‘i have just typed the sentence u wrote about me…it tooks 7 seconds!’

It takes about 0.75 to type ‘you’ instead of ‘u’. Similarly, it takes about one nanosecond to use the caps key. You are (guessing here) probably closer to 40 than 14. Why then are you using twatspeak in your posts? Have you been spending a lot of time on sites frequented by teenagers? And if so, why??

“What’s Cameron’s excuse”?

He’s a Blair clone?

Hi Tom

I take it that you read PoliticalBetting.com. Mike Smithson’s adage that the poll to believe is the one which places Labour in the worst position seems to hold true at each election.

So I don’t think David Cameron will be too worried. Come the autumn I think Labour will be heading back towards 20%, Tories towards 45%. (Unless you change leader).

Squiffy.

@ Duncan
“Good thing the voting system is weighted in your favour isn’t Tom?”

Not for long, I suspect that in the name of ‘rationalisation’ the boundaries commission will be taked with reducing the number of MPs post-election which will damage Labour’s chances of winning the next couple of elections.

Ha! Who’s laughing now, Tom?

tom….what are you letting people like nick do your dirty work for u!

i found his response offensive and i dont quite know what he is suggesting…but i would be grateful if you could remove it unless he explains himself about ‘me spending time on teenager sites’…..

in fact i find his whole response offensive….

more offensive if the fact you allow people on these blogs to simply come on an insult people who have valid points to make during a pretty dire time for all.

i lost my job last week….perhaps u can tell him that.

i am also dsylectic but hey i am used the insults i get about my spelling and how long it takes me too write somthing or spell it correctly.

At the Labour conference I shall be doing my humble best to persuade as many as possible to ditch our great leader before the election.

This is to try and prevent the Conservative majority being too large.

I think a Conservative Government, with a not over-large majority, would be fine for the country while New labour is reborn in opposition.

But once that happens, under a scintillating new leader, New labour will be ready to return.

And by that time the public will no doubt be ready to have them.

@ Liberanos

And I, like many others up and down the country, will be doing our damndest to ensure that Labour is utterly destroyed as a political force so that in twenty years I don’t have to sit through another Labour government buggering up my country.

Tom – sorry my comments didn’t make it past your moderation: but you read them, that’s the main thing. (if you didn’t get one of your internet jockeys to dig them out and show you). I for one would find Parliament a less credible place without you in it.

@Richard

Only problem with that is that it would just leave the Lib-Dems and a a few odds and sods as the official opposition.

The government would get fat, lazy, sleazy and complacent, until a handsome, articulate, charismatic young lawyer came from nowhere to form a slightly left of centre new party…